BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Winthrop East Buchanan

Class: A Class Rank: 24 Conference: A-4 Record: (9-11-0) Overall: (60-38-0) Overall Strength =   54.20

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2001 Away    W    79.78  28  20   1A  15 ( 64- 34-  0) Arlington Starmont     25.58    -17.58                      
  2 09/07/2001 Home    W    65.39   7   6   3A  44 ( 47- 48-  0) Center Point-Urbana    11.19    -10.19                      
  3 09/14/2001 Home    W    64.77  46   0    8  53 ( 26- 63-  0) Olin                   10.57     35.43                      
  4 09/21/2001 Away    W    90.33  38   0    8  20 ( 55- 25-  0) Preston                36.13      1.87                      
  5 09/28/2001 Away    W    83.84  46   6    8  24 ( 53- 44-  0) Maynard West Central   29.64     10.36                      
  6 10/05/2001 Home    W    60.41  50   0    8  59 ( 17- 73-  0) Springville             6.21     43.79                      
  7 10/12/2001 Home    W    61.24  47   0    8  56 ( 15- 57-  0) Miles East Central      7.04     39.96                      
  8 10/19/2001 Away    W    57.58  16  13    A  26 ( 77- 26-  0) Lisbon                  3.38     -0.38                      
  9 10/26/2001 Home    W    80.49  50   0    8  41 ( 38- 54-  0) Central City           26.29     23.71                      
 10 10/31/2001 Home    L    35.64   0  30   ZZ  49 ( 38- 11-  0) Hubbard-Radcliffe     -18.56    -11.44                      
 11 09/06/2002 Home    L    55.72   8  21   1A  15 ( 64- 34-  0) Arlington Starmont      1.53    -14.53                      
 12 09/13/2002 Away    W    58.70  31  14   1A  55 ( 31- 60-  0) North Linn              4.50     12.50                      
 13 09/20/2002 Away    L    38.33  21  35    8  20 ( 55- 25-  0) Preston               -15.87      1.87                      
 14 09/27/2002 Home    W    63.09  49  14    8  42 ( 31- 61-  0) Dunkerton               8.89     26.11                      
 15 10/04/2002 Home    W    38.77  32  12    8  53 ( 26- 63-  0) Olin                  -15.43     35.43                      
 16 10/11/2002 Away    L    25.58  12  41    A  26 ( 77- 26-  0) Lisbon                -28.62     -0.38                      
 17 10/18/2002 Home    W    41.24  35   8    8  56 ( 15- 57-  0) Miles East Central    -12.96     39.96                      
 18 10/25/2002 Away    W    45.54  18   6    8  41 ( 38- 54-  0) Central City           -8.65     20.65                      
 19 11/01/2002 Home    W    48.41  50  12    8  59 ( 17- 73-  0) Springville            -5.79     43.79                      
 20 11/06/2002 Away    L    37.14   8  20    A  32 ( 51- 45-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley   -17.05      5.05                      
 21 09/05/2003 Away    L    68.78  29  32   1A  15 ( 64- 34-  0) Arlington Starmont     14.58    -17.58                      
 22 09/12/2003 Home    W    44.64  12   6   1A  55 ( 31- 60-  0) North Linn             -9.55     15.55                      
 23 09/19/2003 Home    W    69.27  34  14    8  20 ( 55- 25-  0) Preston                15.08      4.92                      
 24 09/26/2003 Away    W    56.14  37  12    8  42 ( 31- 61-  0) Dunkerton               1.95     23.05                      
 25 10/03/2003 Away    W    71.82  56   6    8  53 ( 26- 63-  0) Olin                   17.63     32.37                      
 26 10/10/2003 Home    W    86.52  35   0    A  26 ( 77- 26-  0) Lisbon                 32.32      2.68                      
 27 10/17/2003 Away    W    70.29  53   0    8  56 ( 15- 57-  0) Miles East Central     16.10     36.90                      
 28 10/24/2003 Home    W    85.49  55   0    8  41 ( 38- 54-  0) Central City           31.29     23.71                      
 29 10/31/2003 Away    W    54.46  41   0    8  59 ( 17- 73-  0) Springville             0.26     40.74                      
 30 11/05/2003 Home    L    41.42   7  24   ZZ  57 ( 17- 12-  0) Sumner                -12.78     -4.22                      
 31 09/03/2004 Home    W    69.52  25   7    A  26 ( 77- 26-  0) Lisbon                 15.32      2.68                      
 32 09/10/2004 Away    W    64.29  47   0    8  56 ( 15- 57-  0) Miles East Central     10.10     36.90                      
 33 09/17/2004 Home    W    64.51  42  20   1A  51 ( 38- 55-  0) Alburnett              10.31     11.69                      
 34 09/24/2004 Away    W    86.54  53   0    8  41 ( 38- 54-  0) Central City           32.35     20.65                      
 35 10/01/2004 Home    W    65.41  55   0    8  59 ( 17- 73-  0) Springville            11.21     43.79                      
 36 10/08/2004 Home    W    73.41  40   6    8  28 ( 33- 62-  0) Tripoli                19.21     14.79                      
 37 10/15/2004 Away    W    57.82  48  12    8  53 ( 26- 63-  0) Olin                    3.63     32.37                      
 38 10/22/2004 Home    W *  70.27  31   7    A  31 ( 45- 49-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg     16.08      7.92                      
 39 10/29/2004 Away    W    66.33  21   7    8  20 ( 55- 25-  0) Preston                12.13      1.87                      
 40 11/03/2004 Neutral L    44.79  19  31    A  18 ( 72- 33-  0) North Mahaska          -9.40     -2.60                      
 41 09/02/2005 Away    L    38.58   8  24    A  26 ( 77- 26-  0) Lisbon                -15.62     -0.38                      
 42 09/09/2005 Home    W    60.24  46   0    8  56 ( 15- 57-  0) Miles East Central      6.04     39.96                      
 43 09/16/2005 Away    W    71.56  38  12   1A  51 ( 38- 55-  0) Alburnett              17.36      8.64                      
 44 09/23/2005 Home    W    56.49  26   0    8  41 ( 38- 54-  0) Central City            2.29     23.71                      
 45 09/30/2005 Away    W    71.46  65   7    8  59 ( 17- 73-  0) Springville            17.26     40.74                      
 46 10/07/2005 Away    W    53.47  43  32    8  28 ( 33- 62-  0) Tripoli                -0.73     11.73                      
 47 10/14/2005 Home    L    14.77  27  31    8  53 ( 26- 63-  0) Olin                  -39.43     35.43                      
 48 10/21/2005 Away    L *  23.33   0  26    A  31 ( 45- 49-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg    -30.87      4.87                      
 49 10/28/2005 Home    L    21.27   0  28    8  20 ( 55- 25-  0) Preston               -32.92      4.92                      
 50 09/01/2006 Home    L *  15.51   0  42    A  16 ( 64- 33-  0) Postville             -38.69     -3.31                      
 51 09/11/2006 Away    L    32.84  22  33    8  24 ( 53- 44-  0) Maynard West Central  -21.36     10.36                      
 52 09/15/2006 Home    L    37.58  13  20    8  21 ( 45- 47-  0) Lansing Kee           -16.62      9.62                      
 53 09/22/2006 Home    L    27.52   0  24    A  26 ( 77- 26-  0) Lisbon                -26.68      2.68                      
 54 09/29/2006 Away    L     3.46   0  55    8  13 ( 49- 44-  0) Riceville             -50.74     -4.26                      
 55 10/06/2006 Home    W    51.09  35  12    8  42 ( 31- 61-  0) Dunkerton              -3.11     26.11                      
 56 10/13/2006 Away    L *  24.23   7  47    A  12 ( 63- 37-  0) Elgin Valley          -29.97    -10.03                      
 57 10/20/2006 Home    L    37.41  13  15    8  28 ( 33- 62-  0) Tripoli               -16.79     14.79                      
 58 10/27/2006 Away    L    32.35   7  48   1A  10 ( 76- 30-  0) Wapsie Valley         -21.85    -19.15                      
 59 08/31/2007 Away    L *  46.56   7  21    A  16 ( 64- 33-  0) Postville              -7.63     -6.37                      
 60 09/07/2007 Home    W    53.78  21   8    8  24 ( 53- 44-  0) Maynard West Central   -0.41     13.41                      
 61 09/14/2007 Away    L    30.63  18  35    8  21 ( 45- 47-  0) Lansing Kee           -23.56      6.56                      
 62 09/21/2007 Away    L    25.58   0  29    A  26 ( 77- 26-  0) Lisbon                -28.62     -0.38  non-district        
 63 09/28/2007 Home    W    81.41  26   0    8  13 ( 49- 44-  0) Riceville              27.21     -1.21                      
 64 10/05/2007 Away    W    60.14  35   6    8  42 ( 31- 61-  0) Dunkerton               5.95     23.05                      
 65 10/12/2007 Home    L *  43.18   0  18    A  12 ( 63- 37-  0) Elgin Valley          -11.02     -6.98                      
 66 10/19/2007 Away    L    30.47  14  26    8  28 ( 33- 62-  0) Tripoli               -23.73     11.73                      
 67 10/26/2007 Home    L    59.29  14  25   1A  10 ( 76- 30-  0) Wapsie Valley           5.10    -16.10                      
 68 08/29/2008 Home    W    69.72   9   8   1A  15 ( 64- 34-  0) Arlington Starmont     15.53    -14.53  non-district        
 69 09/05/2008 Away    W    66.56  21   0   1A  51 ( 38- 55-  0) Alburnett              12.36      8.64  non-district        
 70 09/12/2008 Away    W    87.35  14   0   1A  10 ( 76- 30-  0) Wapsie Valley          33.15    -19.15                      
 71 09/19/2008 Home    W * 101.18  56  16    A  12 ( 63- 37-  0) Elgin Valley           46.98     -6.98                      
 72 09/26/2008 Away    W *  53.08  38  14    A  47 ( 14- 49-  0) Don Bosco              -1.12     25.12                      
 73 10/03/2008 Home    W *  78.33  28   0    A  29 ( 46- 49-  0) Elkader Central        24.14      3.86                      
 74 10/10/2008 Away    W    82.58  42  14    A  26 ( 77- 26-  0) Lisbon                 28.38     -0.38                      
 75 10/17/2008 Home    W    66.12  67  21    8  52 ( 11- 79-  0) Wyoming Midland        11.92     34.08                      
 76 10/24/2008 Away    W * 101.56  41   0    A  16 ( 64- 33-  0) Postville              47.37     -6.37                      
 77 10/29/2008 Home    W    76.41  21   0    8  13 ( 49- 44-  0) Riceville              22.21     -1.21                      
 78 11/03/2008 Away    W    79.35  16  10 1 1A  10 ( 76- 30-  0) Wapsie Valley          25.15    -19.15                      
 79 11/07/2008 Neutral L    53.34  10  28    A   5 ( 77- 27-  0) Northwood-Kensett      -0.86    -17.14                      
 80 08/28/2009 Away    L    68.78   6   9   1A  15 ( 64- 34-  0) Arlington Starmont     14.58    -17.58  nd                  
 81 09/04/2009 Home    W    67.51  25   0   1A  51 ( 38- 55-  0) Alburnett              13.31     11.69  nd                  
 82 09/11/2009 Home    L    43.29  13  40   1A  10 ( 76- 30-  0) Wapsie Valley         -10.90    -16.10                      
 83 09/18/2009 Away    W *  66.23  43  41 2  A  12 ( 63- 37-  0) Elgin Valley           12.03    -10.03                      
 84 09/25/2009 Home    W *  53.02  33   6    A  47 ( 14- 49-  0) Don Bosco              -1.18     28.18                      
 85 10/02/2009 Away    L *  10.39   7  50    A  29 ( 46- 49-  0) Elkader Central       -43.81      0.81                      
 86 10/09/2009 Home    W    52.52   7   6    A  26 ( 77- 26-  0) Lisbon                 -1.68      2.68                      
 87 10/16/2009 Away    W    64.17  63  22    8  52 ( 11- 79-  0) Wyoming Midland         9.98     31.02                      
 88 10/23/2009 Home    W *  72.51  21   6    A  16 ( 64- 33-  0) Postville              18.31     -3.31                      
 89 10/28/2009 Away    L    42.37  14  41    A   7 ( 70- 35-  0) Mason City Newman     -11.82    -15.18                      
 90 08/27/2010 Away    L    28.78   0  43   1A  15 ( 64- 34-  0) Arlington Starmont    -25.42    -17.58  ND                  
 91 09/03/2010 Away    W    47.70  14   8   1A  55 ( 31- 60-  0) North Linn             -6.50     12.50  ND                  
 92 09/10/2010 Home    L *  21.89   0  41    A  11 ( 86- 25-  0) Traer North Tama      -32.31     -8.69                      
 93 09/17/2010 Away    L *  35.33   6  20    A  31 ( 45- 49-  0) Edgewood-Colesburg    -18.87      4.87                      
 94 09/24/2010 Home    L *  50.51  12  19    A  16 ( 64- 33-  0) Postville              -3.69     -3.31                      
 95 10/01/2010 Away    L *  42.23   6  28    A  12 ( 63- 37-  0) Elgin Valley          -11.97    -10.03                      
 96 10/08/2010 Home    L    32.34  19  37    A  28 ( 32- 59-  0) Grundy Center         -21.85      3.85  ND                  
 97 10/15/2010 Home    L *  15.33   7  42    A  29 ( 46- 49-  0) Elkader Central       -38.86      3.86                      
 98 10/22/2010 Away    W *  33.08  20  16    A  47 ( 14- 49-  0) Don Bosco             -21.12     25.12                      
      Averages              54.20  25.5 16.9

Best game:  101.56 = 41 point win over Postville
Worst game:   3.46 = 55 point loss to Riceville
Team stdev:  21.05